5 August, Gazprom Arena, third minute. Kondakov swings in a corner, Kevin Andrade wins the aerial duel and heads it in.

Three months earlier Andrade was playing for Baltika. He was sold to Zenit for 3.5 million euros.

That's how the match ended, 0:1. This is the point where a fan usually starts getting angry.

And on the evening of 21 August two pieces of news appeared that made the feeling even easier to understand.

Italian insiders write that Gassama is close to a move to Bologna for 5 million euros plus bonuses. And Ivan Karpov reports that Lokomotiv, after a transfer committee meeting, has decided to prepare an offer for Titkov - a player they themselves let go to Baltika two years ago for 80 thousand euros.

So the question is no longer "who's next?". The question is different: aren't there too many "nexts" at the same time?

And here it's easy to write "we're being picked apart". But the facts so far point to a more complicated picture.

First, what is known, not what has already happened

Gassama to Bologna is not yet a completed transfer. The club has confirmed talks; Schira calls the deal at its final stage: 5 million euros plus bonuses, a "4+1" contract to 2030 with an option to extend to 2031.

Titkov to Lokomotiv isn't a transfer yet either. According to Karpov, Loko sees the 26-year-old midfielder as a replacement for Batrakov (though what kind of replacement is that - they're completely different in role) and plans to make an offer. The release clause is 125 million roubles; his salary in Kaliningrad is 2.5 million a month. The railwaymen's list of alternatives included Oleynikov, Komarov and Maksim Petrov from that same Baltika.

There has been no official offer for Titkov made public. No signature on his departure either. This matters: for now we're discussing not an outcome but a situation in which one RPL club risks losing its defensive leader and one of its key midfielders at the same time.

How much can be earned, and why that's not the main question

In a calendar year Baltika has already brought in almost 9.5 million euros.

Winter: Saus to Spartak for 350 million roubles, around 3.85 million euros. Minus 15% to Zenit as the previous owner, leaving around 3.27 million net.

Summer: Andrade to Zenit for 3.5 million, Borisko to CSKA for 2 million, Eldarushev to Rotor for 120 thousand. 5.62 million in total against 2.95 million in spending.

If only the Gassama deal closes, confirmed revenue for the year rises to roughly 14.5 million euros before bonuses. If Lokomotiv then buys out Titkov for 125 million roubles, that's another 1.35 million or so. So potentially we're talking about 15.8–15.9 million euros in a calendar year.

The figures are approximate - I haven't seen the receipts
The figures are approximate - I haven't seen the receipts

The numbers are impressive. But they don't answer the question that worries the stands: can you sell this much and still have the team remain that same team?

This isn't a sell-off. It's a strategy

To understand what's happening, you have to stop comparing Baltika to Zenit or Spartak.

Armen Margaryan, our sporting director, has described the model with total honesty: a footballer coming to Baltika understands it's a one- or two-year story. The club is a springboard. Here they find you, develop you, give you the RPL and your next contract. Zenit and Spartak don't need to live off resales - they can keep ready-made leaders on expensive long contracts.

Baltika lives in a different economy. According to Ravil Izmailov, the general director, the club's budget is in the bottom eight of the RPL. So it can't simply win auctions against the top clubs for ready-made players and pay top-club wages. Its path is this: find them earlier, make them stronger, sell at the peak and put the money into the next wave.

The scheme is simple:

undervalued player → playing environment and coaching staff's work → rise in value → sale at the peak → reinvestment in the next one

Saus, Andrade, Borisko are not random exceptions and not a sign the squad is being dismantled. They are a working part of the strategy.

But the model comes with an important caveat. Margaryan said: this is not a sell-off for the sake of money. The task is not to get a plus in the transfer balance table, but to avoid destroying the sporting result. Izmailov puts his part even more simply: the club's concept is designed for three to five years, and after sales the squad should become stronger, not cheaper.

This is exactly where the line between a good sale and a dangerous one runs.

But there's one dangerous detail in the strategy

Selling at the peak is right. Giving the buyer the chance to take a player at a pre-agreed, not-too-high price is already questionable.

CSKA didn't haggle over Borisko. They simply triggered the release clause, 180 million roubles, around 2 million euros. For Baltika that's a good sum, but not one for which the club would necessarily have started voluntarily giving up a 26-year-old first-choice goalkeeper with a contract to 2028.

Now there's a similar story with Titkov. Lokomotiv sees him as a comparatively affordable replacement for Batrakov precisely because the player can be bought out for 120–125 million roubles.

And here you can no longer pretend this is a market price. Lokomotiv have just paid 230 million roubles for Sergei Babkin from Krylia, and Zenit paid 500 million for Artyom Karpukas. Yes, those are players of a different status and profile. But the market for Russian players is already overheated: from this season the 12+7 limit is in force, which means demand for ready-made Russians will only grow.

Against that backdrop, 125 million for Titkov looks not like an offer you can't refuse, but like a price written in a little too conveniently for the buyer. Especially if Loko considers him a more accessible target than Oleynikov, Komarov or Maksim Petrov.

And here the question isn't about the sale as such, but about the price of freedom. Baltika has learnt brilliantly how to raise players' value. But has it learnt to write contracts so that this value isn't wiped out by a single bank transfer from a top club?

Why the club can't yet be accused of a sell-off

Because Baltika doesn't just sell. It prepares replacements, often before the departure itself materialises.

The main example is Anderson. In February he was taken on loan from Alianza with an option to buy. On 26 May the option was triggered for 250 thousand euros, with the player valued at 500 thousand. A few weeks later Andrade left for Zenit for 3.5 million.

The replacement was found before the sale and fourteen times cheaper. That's not an attempt to plug a hole. That's normal planning.

Same with Shiltsov. Baltika announced his contract to 2030 back in February, while he finished the second half of last season at Neftekhimik. Now Titkov is one of the options for Lokomotiv. And if he really does leave, Baltika already has a midfielder signed six months before the alarm, rather than in a panic three days before the deadline.

Shiltsov isn't obliged to become Titkov and isn't a ready-made replacement at the click of a finger. But the very fact of his early arrival shows the logic: the club doesn't wait for a sale to start thinking about the position.

In defence it's even clearer: Mouyokolo for 1 million, Kirsh for 700 thousand per Transfermarkt, Moufi for 500 thousand, Shnaptsev for 500 thousand, Anderson for 250 thousand. Around 2.95 million in total on summer incoming deals. Almost all the newcomers are owned outright, most on contracts to 2030.

This isn't a shop window for one season. This is a team being assembled with future resale in mind, yes - but first of all with playing in mind.

Where the model's real weakness is

Not on the way out. On the way in.

Ramdaoui flew to Moscow, passed his medical and flew out again three days later. USM Alger outbid our contract with a bigger salary. Colombian centre-back Garcia didn't become a Baltika player after a strange story about his height: 188 cm in his profile, four less when they measured him in Kaliningrad. Possibly that was only one factor, but there's no confirmation.

Mrezigue was not officially registered as of 22 August. Latyshonok has arrived, but on a one-year loan, apparently with an option to buy: the position vacated by Borisko has been covered, but not resolved for good.

This is where the club can and should be criticised. It has learnt to sell brilliantly. But the more departures there are, the less room for error there is in buying. One collapsed Ramdaoui deal is an annoyance. Ramdaoui, Garcia and one more unfilled key position after two big sales is already a risk.

Rostec and regional backing give the club financial stability. Baltika isn't obliged to grab the first offer that comes along. That's why it could turn down Torino and Panathinaikos when they offered 2.5–3 million for Gassama. But money doesn't buy cohesion and doesn't replace time to adapt. If incoming deals fall through, a financial cushion doesn't solve the sporting problem.

Money versus the feeling of a team

The club's sums go like this:

bought for X → developed → sold for 3X → position covered for less → success

The fan's sums go differently:

finally a decent player → finally he's settled in → WHAT DO YOU MEAN SOLD?!

And both are right.

Anderson for 250 thousand has objectively covered Andrade's position. But the fan wanted to see Andrade on the shirt, and instead saw his header from a third-minute corner in someone else's kit.

Shiltsov may become the answer to Titkov's departure. But right now people are going to watch Titkov, not a potential answer that still has to be integrated.

Nobody comes to the Rostec Arena to cheer for a line in the accounts. A person pays for emotion. And how many times can the club perfectly replace a footballer before the fan gets tired of getting to know a new team every year? The transfer balance has no answer to that question.

What will be the test before 11 September

The RPL window closes on 11 September.

If Gassama leaves and Baltika finds a good defender on a long contract, on the Anderson, Kirsh or Mouyokolo model, that will be strong work.

If Titkov leaves and Shiltsov gets his chance, proves himself and the team doesn't sag, the club will confirm the second half of its model: it can not only sell leaders but also prepare in good time those who'll take their place.

But if sales close faster than purchases, and the replacements are loans only or collapse at the last step, the fans' anxiety will turn out to be not hysteria but an accurate reaction to reality.

Right now Baltika is doing good work. But the next twenty days are the toughest exam of that work. Because Baltika's main transfers in this window are no longer the ones it will buy. The main ones are whether it can preserve the feeling that it's building a football team, not a conveyor belt.

You can discuss transfer strategies here - https://t.me/BalticaB

A wonderful day to everyone who read to the end and sank all the way to the bottom of the article =)